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Elections
Convulsions in Libya
Fifteen days from now, the Libyan people will go to the polls. It will be the first election of its kind in Libya, but not the first election in the country. Qaddafi’s Jamahiriya held elections, but these turned out to be very large rubber stamps for a regime that conducted the spectacular trick of centralization in the name of de-centralization. But this is going to be a fraught election. The social and political conditions are unprepared for the niceties of electoral democracy. At the Rixos Hotel, the US democratic consultants have been trying to “guide” the country to democracy, and to offer their wisdom about elections. Part of their guidance has been to ...
Keep Reading »In Disappointing Transition, Analysts Say Mubarak's Verdict Mocks Justice
The only trial that has taken place against one of the fallen dictators of the Arab revolutions ended today. The verdicts in former President Hosni Mubarak's trial may have symbolic importance for the region, but many feel they have mocked the hundreds of martyrs who died fighting against a thirty-year-old repressive and corrupt regime, analysts said. Conducted in a transitional period that has been presided over by an unaccountable military body, the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF), Saturday's verdicts highlight the trial's lack of transparency and will have a regressive impact on security sector reform. The outcome may also swing voters ahead ...
Keep Reading »Analyzing Egyptian Presidential Election Vote
Ahram Online presents a detailed visual breakdown of the results from Egypt's first free presidential elections. [Developed in partnership with Ahram Online. Ahmed Feteha, Basse
Keep Reading »Egypt's Presidential Elections and Twitter Talk
It has been fifteen months since the resignation of former President Hosni Mubarak in February 2011. Since then there has been a continued sense of leaderlessness and overall instability throughout Egypt. Over the last two days1, Egyptians have taken to the ballot box in what has become an historic presidential election. Hours since the voting polls have closed, the ballots are still being counted as Egyptians wait with bated breath. This race has been hard to predict up to the very last hours—as though the elections for Egypt’s next president have been held up by the lack of polling. This essay examines social media content leading up to the presidential elections in ...
Keep Reading »Why Did Abul-Fotouh Fail In The Presidential Elections?
After seen as one of the frontfronners in Egypt's presidential race, with many expecting that he would make the runoff, Abdel Moneim Abul-Fotouh's poor showing in the as yet unfinalised results placing him in fourth place has contradicted the expectations of both observers and analysts. The failure to secure enough votes to make it to the runoffs is a surprise given that his campaign was seen to represent a cross-section of the Egyptian political powers from extreme left to extreme right in what Abul-Fotouh called the project of "Strong Egypt." Many people had expressed doubts about Abul-Fotouh and his ability to unite everybody from liberals to Islamists, ...
Keep Reading »الإسلاميون والشريعة ... شكلية التكليف بعيداً عن جوهر القيمة
هل سيصبح شعار"تطبيق الشريعة" بمثابة شماعة لتعليق الأخطاء مثلما كان يحدث على طريقة نخب الحكم الاستبدادي في العقود السابقة حين صنعت قضايا كبرى من قبيل القومية العربية، والأمن القومي والصراع العربي الإسرائيلي دون البحث عن حلول جذرية للمشكلات الحقيقية في مجتمعاتها؟ نلمح تشابهاً هنا يدورفي عقلية النخبة الجديدة القادمة ممثلة في الإسلاميين الذين فازوا بأغلب مقاعد المجالس النيابية، سواء في مصر أو في تونس أو في المغرب، بأنهم جاءوا ليطبقوا الشريعة بدلا من أن يعملوا على نهضة مجتمعاتهم ويأخذوها من واقع الفقر والجهل والتخلف إلى مصاف التقدم، وهو نهج لا يتعارض بطبيعة الحال مع جوهر الدين الذي تحول لديهم إلى (تابو أو مُحرَّم) تحت مسمى الشريعة والتي لا ندري ما هي على وجه ...
Keep Reading »Mursi First, Shafiq Second in Egypt President Race With Two Governorates to Tally Up
Results in twenty-five governorates aggregated by Ahram Online shows that with about 41.8 percent turn out, the Muslim Brotherhood candidate Mohamed Mursi is in the first place so far, followed by Ahmed Shafik, Mubarak's last prime minister, while the leftist candidate, Hamdeen Sabbahi, who proved to be the main surprise so far, fell back to the third place. Still waiting for Cairo and Giza results. Will we witness more surprise? 1. Mursi 4,406,782 (26.48 per cent) 2. Shafiq 4,115,840 (24.74 per cent) 3. Sabbahi 3,329,519 (20.01 per cent) 4. Abul-Fotouh 2,959,937 (17.79 per cent) 5. Moussa 1,778,244 (10.69 per cent) [Developed in ...
Keep Reading »Nazlet Al-Semman District: 'Not Everybody Loves the Revolution'
On the second day of the presidential elections I went to Nazlet Al-Semman, the village adjoining the Giza plateau just outside Cairo – home to the majority of those pro-Mubarak thugs who waged the Battle of the Camel, taking their camels and horses over to Tahrir Square to attack protesters with a view to disbanding the sit-in. The event was crucial to toppling Mubarak after thirty years in power. Nazlet Al-Semman is best known for tourism – they provide tourists with horse and camel rides in the vicinity of the Pyramids – which has been affected badly by the revolution. As soon as I stepped in the neighborhood it was clear that the majority of the residents blame the ...
Keep Reading »Vote Counting Begins in Historic Egypt Election
Following two days of voting, vote counting began Thursday at nine pm in the election that will determine Egypt’s next president. Unless one of the thirteen candidates achieves more than fifty percent of the vote, runoff elections are expected for 16 and 17 June. Polls conducted before voting began varied widely, with the election appearing to be a toss-up between five leading candidates. The results are still extremely preliminary because votes are being counted and can later be appealed, but Egypt Independent reporters’ access to ten polling stations in scattered locations across the country provides some insight into Egypt’s possible future. Hamdeen Sabbahi, a ...
Keep Reading »Class Divisions Emerge in Alexandria Vote
Despite long lines and hot weather, people in Egypt’s second-largest city, ventured to polling stations to vote in the country's first free and fair presidential election. In Old Alexandria, where much of the city's working class lives and works in the downtown area, many voters told Egypt Independent they would vote for Nasserist candidate Hamdeen Sabbahi or moderate Islamist Abdel Moneim Abouel Fotouh. There was a strong deployment of military police and naval forces across the city, especially around polling stations. On Wednesday, the first day of the first round of voting, military personnel cruised the coastal city in jeeps blaring old patriotic songs, ...
Keep Reading »Reading The Tea-Leaves: Early Indications of Egypt Presidential Poll Results
With the opening of polls in Egypt's first post-Mubarak presidential election, five frontrunners have a reasonable chance of making it to the runoff round of voting on June sixteenth and seventeeth. According to most opinion polls, the favorites are Amr Moussa, Abdel-Moneim Abul-Fotouh, Mohamed Mursi, Ahmed Shafiq and Hamdeen Sabbahi. Campaigners for all five presidential hopefuls have said their respective candidates would make it to the runoff. Informed sources, however, say the runoff is likely to feature two out of three frontrunners, namely, Mursi, Moussa or Shafiq. "Most probably, it will be Mursi and Moussa [in the runoff round], but those who ...
Keep Reading »The Missing Ikhwan and An Electorate Split in Three
The first round of the Egyptian presidential election, like every other election over the past year and a half, and unlike those over the previous sixty years, brought its own surprises. The usually unreliable polls were again wrong, as were most of the pundits (both Egyptian and foreign). In first place was Mohamed Morsi, the second-choice candidate of the Muslim Brotherhood (MB)’s political wing, the Freedom and Justice Party (FJP). Close by in second place was deposed President Hosni ...
Keep Reading »Egypt’s Elections under Military Rule: Join Our Resistance to the Counter-Revolution
[The following statement was released by Comrades from Cairo on 1 June 2012.] Egypt’s Elections under Military Rule: Join Our Resistance to the Counter-Revolution To you at whose side we struggle, From the beginning of the Egyptian revolution, the powers that be have launched a vicious counter-revolution to contain our struggle and subsume it by drowning the people’s voices in a process of meaningless, piecemeal political reforms. This process aimed at deflecting the path of revolution and the ...
Keep Reading »الانتخابات الرئاسيّة المصريّة والمصالحة الفلسطينيّة
إن نتائج الجولة الأولى من الانتخابات الرئاسيّة المصريّة كانت مفاجئة في عدة مسائل، أبرزها تأهل أحمد شفيق لانتخابات الرئاسة وليس عمرو موسى، وتأهل محمد مرسي وليس عبد المنعم أبو الفتوح، وصعود نجم حمدين صباحي؛ وهذا يعني أن حدة المنافسة والاستقطاب ستبلغ الذروة في يومي 16 و17 حزيران لاختيار رئيس مصر. هل سيكون الرئيس القادم مرشح النظام القديم، أم مرشح الإخوان المسلمين، وإذا كان الأخير هو الفائز، فهل سيحصل على الرئاسة بعد ائتلاف مع قوى الثورة أو معظمها أم دون ائتلافها معها، أم سيعقد صفقة مع المجلس ...
Keep Reading »Sabbahi To Seek Election Suspension, Cites Voting Irregularities
Hamdeen Sabbahi will file a lawsuit calling for the suspension of Egypt's presidential election because of alleged voting irregularities and a pending case over the right of former Prime Minister Ahmed Shafiq to stand, Sabbahi's lawyer said Saturday. Sabbahi is a leftist presidential candidate who did not make it into the run-offs by a very small margin. "We will present an appeal on behalf of candidate Hamdeen Sabbahi ... to the Presidential Elections Commission, citing a series of irregularities ...
Keep Reading »Why Did Sabbahi - 'One of Us' - Do So Well?
During revolutionary times, remarkable social, cultural and economic changes occur. Each phase potentially carries new surprises as a reflection of these emerging changes. The emergence of Nasserist candidate Hamdeen Sabbahi in third place, so far, behind the Muslim Brotherhood's candidate, Mohamed Mursi and Mubarak-era Ahmed Shafiq reveals the significant portion of Egyptians thirsty for social justice. After Islamists – the Muslim Brotherhood and the Salafists – successfully campaigned for a 'yes' ...
Keep Reading »How Did Mubarak's Last PM Make It To Egypt's Second Round of Presidential Elections?
Egypt’s landmark presidential race looks to be headed to a decisive run-off round between Mohamed Mursi, the Muslim Brotherhood’s candidate, and Ahmed Shafiq, a veteran loyalist to the regime of ousted president Hosni Mubarak and with strong ties to the military. While it was highly expected that Mursi would make it to the second round, or even win the first round, because of the firm support of millions of Muslim Brotherhood members and other Islamist elements, the same was not true for Shafiq. ...
Keep Reading »Unofficial Egyptian Election Results: Morsy First, Shafiq Second
Al-Masry Al-Youm has compiled a comprehensive tabulation of results from the first round of presidential elections, which ended yesterday. The Muslim Brotherhood’s candidate, Mohamed Morsy, looks set to lead Egypt's first presidential election poll following the uprising that deposed Hosni Mubarak last year, taking 5,446,460, or 24.9 percent of the votes. Ahmed Shafiq, a former civil aviation minister under Mubarak who was appointed during the president’s last days in office as prime minister, is a ...
Keep Reading »Egypt Elects its President While in Crisis
One cannot say that most Egyptians sense a political crisis. However, large sectors of activists from across the political spectrum feel the existence of a crisis in Egypt’s political scene. That is why the presidential race is intensely competitive in a manner perhaps incommensurate with the importance of the election itself. This article is an attempt to answer the following questions: What caused the crisis? How has the crisis developed in the past months? How has it been reflected in a general state ...
Keep Reading »Suez, Which Stoked Flames of Uprising, Lukewarm on Election
The first post-revolution presidential election has attracted much hype in local and international media, but that excitement was not reflected in Suez, where the first protester was killed in the 25 January revolution. During the early hours of Wednesday and up until the afternoon, polling stations across the city were mostly empty and queues were hardly visible outside polling stations. At mid-afternoon, Suez Security Director Adel Refaat estimated the voter turnout was fifteen percent of the ...
Keep Reading »In Labor Stronghold of Mahalla, Vote Split Between Morsy and Sabbahi
The city of Mahalla, which some call the "Industrial Citadel of the Nile Delta," conducted its first day of landmark presidential elections Wednesday amid a lower-than-expected voter turnout, witnesses and observers said. Mahalla is home to the largest textile company in Egypt and the Middle East, the Egyptian Spinning and Weaving Company, which has consistently been at the forefront of labor struggles and strikes. This Nile Delta city also boasts a number of other textile mills and ...
Keep Reading »Egyptian Presidential Elections, Day One: Turnout and Trends
The first day of Egypt’s historic presidential elections appears to have passed without incident. Rising voter turnout throughout the day led Hatem Begato, secretary-general of the Supreme Presidential Electoral Commission (SPEC), to extend voting hours by one hour to nine pm to accommodate the increasing numbers. Out of thirteen official candidates, leading contenders belong to three principal ideological fronts. The principal secular candidates include Ahmed Shafiq, ousted president Hosni ...
Keep Reading »The Presidential Race: A Game of Egyptian Roulette
Before going to bed, I decided I was going to write an article on the presidential election first thing in the morning. I closed my eyes, and before falling into a deep sleep, I wondered if there was any use to add to the unbearably noisy pool of voices debating the elections. A group of huge, dark, and hairy mountain rats with glittering eyes invaded my house like locusts. Only minutes later, a new group of rats came pouring into the house from every window and all balconies, moving as if following the ...
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